Federal Reserve raised the interest rate by 50 basis points to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent given the stubbornly high Inflation, lower unemployment, and broad price pressure due to supply imbalance between aggregate demand and supply.   Recent employment and inflation data have zigged and zagged in many directions this year. In some months, data came

Inflation cooled more than expected in November, raising hope that the Federal Reserve will be able to ease back on the series of aggressive interest-rate increases it has rolled out this year as it seeks to get prices under control. The consumer price index climbed at a 7.1% annual pace in November, down from October’s

The spread between 10-year and three-month bonds is in negative territory, implying financial institutions have less incentive to extend loans to borrowers. The latest data from the conference board suggests the leading economic indicators are dropping. We hear the big “R” word (recession) often by the corporate leaders in the quarterly meetings. Global firms are

AAII sentiment indicator shows pessimism at 60%. Sentiment describes a group of people’s opinions, emotions, or views. In investing, sentiment can be a powerful determinant of security prices, especially in the short run. Emotions—whether rational or irrational—can drive market prices. The price at which an individual security trades is the total sentiment of all market

With inflation at multi-decade highs in many countries and pressures broadening beyond food and energy prices, policymakers have pivoted toward tighter policy. The monetary policy cycle is now increasingly synchronized around the world. Notably, the pace of tightening is accelerating in several countries, particularly in advanced economies, in terms of both frequency and magnitude of

Officials project short-term rates will rise above 4.25% by year’s end, signaling further large increases at future meetings. The Federal Reserve approved its third consecutive interest-rate rise of 0.75 percentage points. It signaled significant additional increases were likely at future meetings as it combats inflation that remains near a 40-year high. The decision Wednesday, unanimously supported by the Fed’s 12-member

Given the decline in GDP for the second quarter, more S&P 500 companies than typically discussed the term “recession” during their earnings conference call for the second quarter.   240 companies cited the term “recession,” and 412 companies cited “inflation” during their earnings calls for the second quarter From June 15 through September 8, which